好的解释是创造行为Good Explanations Are Acts of Creativity
Naval：有一个我和布雷特会反复提到的说法："好的解释"。好的解释，是多伊奇对科学方法所做的改进。
与此同时，它又超越了科学。它不仅适用于科学，也适用于生活的方方面面。我们在人生中摸索前行，而成功之道就在于创造出好的解释。如果其他什么都记不住，那就试着理解什么是好的解释。
一个好的解释，首先必须是可检验的，或者说可证伪的。你可以在现实世界中做实验，看它是否为真。即便不说这个，它也是一种创造性的解释。它审视现实世界中正在发生的事情，并指出："这就是它发生的原因。"这是一种创造性的飞跃，它宣称："这就是这件事运作方式背后的解释。"
比如，当我陪伴年幼的孩子看日落时，我会问他们："太阳是在去往某个地方吗？它在移动吗？还是说，其实是我们在动，而我们移动的方式让太阳看起来像在落山？"哪一种才是正确的解释？
如果只凭直觉观察，你会以为太阳正划过天空、绕着地球转。但这并不是唯一的解释。还有一种完全具有创造性的解释，它看似与"太阳在移动"这一直观观察相悖，却同样能符合事实——只是需要一些创造力。这个解释就是：地球在自转。
好的解释不必显而易见。它们不是仅仅通过回顾过去发生的事情就能得出的。相反，它们是可检验的。我们可以通过实验来弄清：究竟是太阳绕着地球转，还是地球在自转。
Naval: There’s a phrase you’ll hear Brett and I use over and over again: “good explanations.” Good explanations are Deutsch’s improvement upon the scientific method.
At the same time, it’s beyond science. It’s not just true in science but in all of life. We navigate our way through life, and we do it successfully by creating good explanations. If you take away nothing else, try and understand what a good explanation is.
A good explanation, first and foremost, is testable or falsifiable. You can run an experiment in the real world to see if it’s true or not. Even stepping back from that, it’s a creative explanation. It looks at something that’s going on in the real world and says, “This is why it’s happening.” It is a creative leap that says, “This is the underlying explanation for how the thing works.”
For example, when I’m watching a sunset with my young kids, I ask them: “Is the sun going somewhere? Is it moving? Or is it that maybe we’re moving, and we’re moving in such a way that it looks like the sun is setting?” Which is the proper explanation?
Looking at it naively, you would think the sun is hurtling across the sky and going around the Earth. But that’s not the only explanation. There’s a completely creative explanation that seems to fly in the face of the obvious observation of the sun’s movement but could also fit the facts—but it requires some creativity. That explanation is that the Earth is rotating.
Good explanations don’t have to be obvious. They’re not derived from just looking at what happened in the past. Rather, they are testable. There are experiments we can run to figure out if it’s the sun that is going around the earth or if it’s the Earth turning.